Janos Says Relax…How the West will be Won 2008 Style…Stomping Terra on the
Over the weekend a female volunteer pouring over delegate numbers remarked to me, “Now I understand why guys are so obsessed with sports stats. This is actually pretty fun!” The lengthy primary season has been a godsend to Knick fans like me, who have absolutely nothing to look forward to this season, except that we’ll do so poorly that next June we’ll get a high draft pick who we’ll probably end up trading for a washed up small forward.
The whole concept of delegate counts, caucuses versus primaries, and territories we had forgotten existed (Hello,
To get everyone up to speed, there are 796 Super delegates, about 20% of the total number of Convention votes. They represent high-ranking state and national party leaders, as well as elected officials. “We don’t have Batmobiles, we can’t fly, and you definitely don’t want to see us in spandex,’ quipped Super delegate and sometimes losing campaign manager Donna Brazile.
Apparently, in some cases they don’t vote either, according to CNN’s story of the 21 year-old Wisconsin DNC member who will be casting the first vote of his life next Tuesday. The Super delegates are a disgrace to the Democratic process, and any deusch you hear on TV saying they weren’t meant to play the decisive role is lying- that is precisely why they were created in 1980. That said, there are a couple reasons not to worry about them.
- The Credential Committee at the Convention makes the decision of whether or not to count
’s delegates. Florida
- Howard Dean has named the 3 Committee Co-Chairs, as well as 22 other DNC members. Hillary partisans say it’s stacked for Obama, Obama people say it’s stacked for Hillary. Let’s call it a wash (without knowing these people individually it’s impossible to speculate. You can see the peeps here: http://www.demconvention.com/assets/mainassets/standingcommittees.pdf
- The other 160 or so members of the Credentials Committee are chosen by the states, as a reflection of the primary or caucus result and size of the state.
- Ipso facto, whoever has won the most pledged delegates will seat the majority on the Credentials Committee.
- If Hillary has the most pledged delegates, we are fucked anyway, and it doesn’t really matter whether
Michiganand count. Florida
- If Obama has the most pledged delegates, the Committee will probably uphold the DNC ruling to strip them of delegates.
- If it’s essentially a tie, or the Credentials Committee is split evenly, than the status quo stands. The status quo is that
Michiganand don’t count. Florida
- If for some reason shady stuff goes down, and the Committee does recommend they count, then the larger Convention still has to approve it. If Obama has more delegates (pledged and unpledged), they will vote this down. If Hillary has more, then we’ve lost either way.
At the Roger Clemens steroids hearing yesterday, a number of Congressmen got hung up on his trainer, Brian McNamee’s phrase, “It is what it is,” until a New York Congressman helpfully clarified, “In New York that’s like slang for ‘I’m just telling the truth.’” Someone joked that it “depends on what ‘is’ is,” to which someone responded “It is what it is,” and as the whole room chortled a Republican from North Carolina asked what Congress was doing holding this godforsaken Roger Clemens hearing in the first place. True that. The point I’m making is that this is what it is. It is what it is. We have Super delegates, and they suck. The side with most pledged delegates going into the convention will control the convention. So it goes, so it went, and so it keeps going and going and going. All these feared machinations about Super delegates, about
Notes on the State of
Virginia, population 7.6 million, is one of those pesky “small states” that Obama keeps beating
At this stage of the race, there’s just not enough time, not enough time. But if the Obama legacy is real, I believe what will happen during his Presidency is that the thousands who have been inspired by him will take to organizing their communities full time so that people don’t slip through the cracks, and don’t feel like all politicians have to offer them is tired looking young person at the door every four years with a flyer on how to vote for them.
If Saturday was a letdown, Sunday was an absolute whirlwind, a madhouse in action. Commander Kate Gage was running the show, patrolling the grounds outside of
The doors to the venue wouldn’t open till 12:30, and Obama wasn’t scheduled to speak until 2, but there was already a line by 9am, which grew into the hundreds, and then thousands before noon. My job was to be in charge of the line, a seemingly innocuous assignment, but like my experience handing out placards at the Meadowlands, I found that Obamamania can bring out the best and worst in people. The line was sprawling for the equivalent of five to ten city blocks, the line cutting was rampant, and the molasses speed at which Secret Service let people in two at a time was not helping the vibe in 30 degree weather. I felt like I was in a battlefield yelling at volunteers in my cowboy hat to redirect human traffic this direction then that…all on four of sleep after attending a drag party in D.C run by young politicos who put aside people’s fear of political sabotage by banning cameras from the party. Glad I don’t live in that town…
My main partners were Charles, a husky African American who positioned himself near a police motorcycle so he could hear internal security communications off the radio, and adjust accordingly, and Don, a paunchy old white guy who donned a yellow poncho to stand out as a de facto traffic cop, marshalling people across busy street corners and while Secret Service motorcycles sped around him. All vols, all the time, but the work gets done. It felt like
The event itself was a treat. Tim Kaine gave a rousing introduction, getting so excited that he started giving his stump speech in Spanish, a language he apparently knows fluently from working with missionaries in
Some Obama’s Jabs to the McNose:
“ McCain won’t be able to say that I ever supported this war in
“I admired Senator McCain when he stood up and said that it offended his "conscience" to support the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy in a time of war; that he couldn’t support a tax cut where "so many of the benefits go to the most fortunate." But somewhere along the road to the Republican nomination, the Straight Talk Express lost its wheels, because now he’s all for them.”
He’s ready for the general election now, and he will chase old man McCain around this country with such intensity it’ll make Sonny Liston look a real challenger.
How to Spin 8 in a row…
It’s tough to swing at someone who’s already hit the floor. When I saw that Obama had locked up his 8th primary win in a row, I thought, ‘There is no way the
- Primary states with heavy black populations don’t matter, because black people vote for Obama. And when white people IN THAT STATE (Virginia,
…) vote for Obama? Doesn’t matter. The blacks threw the whole thing off. Maryland
- Caucuses don’t matter. They only attract party elites, and activists (who needs activists to win an election, anyway?). Except in
, where they attracted pro-Clinton poor casino workers. Does the fact that many caucus states are homogenously white ( Nevada , eg) mean Obama can win white voters? No, because those are rich white voters. Is that empirically true? No…no, why are you still asking questions? Don’t you realize we’re the Nebraska ? This party would be nothing without us! Clintons
Hillary is now pursuing the Rudy Strategy, an idea so idiotic that only a slimy
“You heard about Mr. Dan’s cow passing on last week…”
“You don’t say? What happened?”
“They say he caught the
Worlds apart, I tell you. But all part of the same country. That’s why I like this long primary season. Anyone who’s been on a cross country road trip can tell you how many beautiful places there are under the stars and stripes, and if they all get to participate this time around, everyone wins. Every state should have some say in who the parties nominate, and every state should have some say in who wins the election. Now it’s on to